The biggest night in Hollywood brings to a close one of the tightest awards seasons in recent memory.
Over a month after the Oscars 2025 nominations were announced, all the major precursors are now done.
That means the money is literally onAnorato win Best Picture.
That suggests Corbet’s film may play better with international voters, which could help give him an edge.
Since I’m going withAnorato win Best Picture, it only makes sense to go with Baker in Director.
TheAnorafilmmaker is -175 compared to +135 for Corbet.
Demi Moore took the reins at Golden Globes with her win and proceeded to win elsewhere.
She had all the momentum before Mikey Madison’s win at BAFTA brought some late drama.
Mikey Madison’s odds are not that bad, though.
She sits at +165 onDraftKings, which comfortably puts her in second place behind Moore, who is -250.
That piece of history adds more credence to the belief thatDemi Moore will win Best Actress.
It’s arguably one of the tougher categories to predict too.
Custom Image by Milica Djordjevic
Previous awards shows give Brody a strong path towards a victory.
He’s won awards at BAFTA, Golden Globes, Critics Choice, and more.
That really should point me to predict that Adrien Brody will win Best Actor.
SAG has correctly predicted the Oscars' Best Actor winner 24 of 30 times previously.
Zoe Saldana has swept through the precursors with wins at SAG, BAFTA, and Critics Choice.
Ariana Grande never broke through as some predicted, leavingtheEmilia Perezstar as the clear frontrunner in this category.
There’s absolutely no reason to believe a different outcome is coming here.
Kieran Culkin will win the Oscar forA Real Pain.
That makes him thebiggest favorite across all Oscars categories.
Picking anyone other than Culkin to win Best Supporting Actor would not be wise.
5Best Original Screenplay
The love forAnoracould deliver the film a Best Original Screenplay win too.
However,Anoraregained its status as the frontrunner with a WGA win.
It is my predicted winner for Best Adapted Screenplay after a strong showing all awards season.
It won at BAFTA, Critics Choice, and Golden Globes.
That doesn’t change much here, asConclaveis -1000 to win Best Adapted Screenplay.
This will be one vote Cardinal Lawrence will be pleased with.
It’s still in a close race withEmilia Perez, as both films are also Best Picture nominees.
In fact,Emilia Perezhas better precursor wins with Golden Globes and BAFTA.
So why choseI’m Still Here?
The backlash toEmilia Perez’s controversies could be more felt with the Academy than abroad.
Plus,I’m Still Hereis the betting favorite at -200 compared toEmilia Perezat +140.
