For example,Emilia Perezhas 13 Oscar nominations, the most for any movie this year.

The BrutalistandWickedcame the closest to matchingEmilia Perez’s Oscar nomination tally, as they each received ten nominations.

This was followed byConclaveandA Complete Unknownreceiving eight nominations, whileAnoragot six, andDune: Part TwoandThe Substancehad five apiece.

Anora, Emilia Perez, Gladiator II and Dune 2 with Oscar statues

Custom Image by Ana Nieves

No other movie had more than five nominations announced on the morning of January 23.

Still, the other three also have Golden Globes and PGA nominations.

And based on the near-record number of nominations,Emilia Perezwinning Best Picture feels very likely.

Adrien Brody as the architect László Toth putting pencil to paper while sitting next to a big tree in Brady Cobert’s The Brutalist (2024)

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There’s also a world where Audiard wins ifEmilia Perezsweeps through the 97th Academy Awards.

She has the momentum and recently beat Madison for the Golden Globe in Best Actress - Musical or Comedy.

This could still change ifAnoraregains some steam and pushes for a Best Picture win.

Zoe Saldana dancing with her red suit in Emilia Perez

They have been both been predicted to be the winner at various points this awards season.

For now, Chalamet is ourpredicted Best Actor winner for the 2025 Oscars.

All five of them are part of Best Picture nominees.

Benji (Kieran Culkin) smiling in the airport in A Real Pain

Wins for Grande at SAG or BAFTA would help even the race since Saldana is also nominated.

With that lineup, Culkin’s odds of winning are high based on how he’s performed in precursors.

Jesse Eisenberg’s screenplay forA Real Painfeels like it has the strongest case to pull off an upset.

Cardinal Lawrence holding up a slip of paper while looking upwards in Conclave

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As far as predicting the winner,Conclave’s Golden Globes win positions it as a frontrunner.

The latter was also nominated in Best Picture and received over 10 nominations overall.

However, it won International Feature Film instead of Best Picture.

Emilia and Epifamía stare at each other across the table while on a date with a fountain in the background in Emilia Perez

IfEmilia Perezmanages to win both as we predict, it would only be the second film to do so.

Currently,Parasiteis the only movie to win Best Picture and Best International Feature.

The Academy could also potentially look elsewhere for a winner ifEmilia Perez’s Best Picture win becomes to obvious.

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