Mikey Madison is viewed as a majorOscarscontender for her lead performance inAnora.

Doing so would require her peers viewing her performance as the best of the best from the entire year.

That could be difficult with a mega-star like Angelina Jolie or Oscars-darling in Saoirse Ronan also in the running.

Anora, Emilia Perez, Gladiator II and Dune 2 with Oscar statues

Still, there’s a growing sense that the Best Actress Oscar is Mikey Madison’s to lose.

But is that just wishful thinking or the direction the race is heading?

Thiscould change drastically withMariadebuting on Netflix on December 11and expanding the reach of Jolie’s performance.

A dwarf leaning into the frame and whistling in Snow White 2025

This is due to two major factors that are inherent to her candidacy.

The Academy voters usually don’t make the youngest performers the winners.

It does make it more difficult, though, on paper.

Ochi with its mouth open in The Legend of Ochi

Of that group, eight of the actresses were first time nominees like Madison would be.

But, none of them were younger.

It wouldn’t be the first time the Oscars have done so.

Mikey Madison’s Oscar Chances For Winning Best Actress For Anora

Custom Image by Simone Ashmoore

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Cast

Mikey Madison as Ani looking over her shoulder in Anora

Image via NEON

Anora Official Poster

Headshot Of Mikey Madison

Headshot Of Mark Eydelshteyn

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The Oscars | Academy Awards