As awards season kicks in, it is easy for consensus to emerge.

Certain movies gain steam throughout the year and are viewed as the indisputable group of contenders.

That can make everything feel a bit predetermined.

Denzel Washington looking up in Gladiator 2

There is no getting around the fact that certain movies are well positioned to win throughout awards season.

Ourpredicted Oscar nominees in all categoriesare just one example of that.

It happened with 2021’sDunewhen he missed out on the field.

Elphaba and Glinda look up in Wicked

Yet, Denis Villeneuve could very well miss out on the2025 Oscars Best Director nomination.

Villeneuve’s snub at the Golden Globes for Best Director speaks volumes.

However, the movie also marks a great comeback for Moore as a leading star.

Lizzy Caplan as Lula posing in a mirrored room in Now You See Me 2

8Sebastian Stan Will Become An Oscar Nominee For Best Actor

But For What Movie?

Sebastian Stan is undoubtedly best known as playing Bucky Barnes a.k.a.

And yet, Stan has made waves in recent years with his dramatic performances inI, TonyaorPam & Tommy.

Demi Moore (The Substance), Paul Mescal (Gladiator II), and Lily-Rose Depp (Nosferatu) with the Oscars

Custom Image by Cooper Hood

Whether he’s nominated forThe ApprenticeorA Different Manis no different.

Either movie could get the job done andbring Stan into the Oscars picture for the first time.

However, he’s already seemed to reach the heights of his campaign.

Denis Villeneuve and Timothee Chalamet on Dune 2 set

Universal Pictures

The more the movie is seen, the more support seems to come his way.

That’s all at the cost of support for Denzel.

Without any new angles to extend his campaign, he might not get into the three-time Oscar winners club.

Sebastian Stan standing with lights behind him in The Apprentice

However, we’ll boldly predict thatThe Wild Robotgets into the2025 Oscars Best Picturerace too.

DreamWorks has never had an animated film nominated for Best Picture.

I think it should, and hopefully voters do too.

Brightbill on Roz’s shoulder in The Wild Robot

Universal Pictures

With 12 nominations,Gladiatorwas an Oscars powerhouse.

It won five Oscars, including Best Picture.

Usually it takes an undeniably great horror movie and leading actress to breakthrough at the Oscars.

The characters of Gladiator 2 (2024) as seen in the film’s posters next to Russell Crowe shouting as Maximus in Gladiator (2000)

Custom Image by Lewis Glazebrook

That is what 2024 has withNosferatuand Lily-Rose Depp.

The appreciation for Robert Eggers' film could bring her into contention then.

The Best Actress category is very competitive, but it’s a bold prediction for a reason.

Ellen screams while being strangled by a creepy hand in a scene from Nosferatu 2024

Lily-Rose Depp would accomplish what Anya Taylor-Joy (The Witch) couldn’t do then.

But, the movie could earn nominations in several other categories above and below the line.

Just by playing it safe,Emilia Perezshould have five Oscar nominations come nomination morning.

Elphaba is attending class in Wicked

However, it could also double up in Best Supporting Actress and Best Song potentially.

There are also additional below-the-line categories in which it can score nominations, like Best Cinematography.

That would set up the movie tocome close to or eclipse double-digit Oscar nominations.

Ryan Gosling in The Fall Guy leaping for an Oscar

That’s why we think it will lead all movies in 2025 with the number of Oscar nominations.

Winning at precurrors has led to it rising in predictions about how many nominations it will get.

The high number of nominationsWickedis seemingly heading for is expected at this point.

Movies

But predicting it to be the biggest winner of the night is a bit bolder.

Wicked is finally in theaters & it’s getting a lot of attention.

But what are the musical’s Best Picture chances?

The Oscars | Academy Awards

We look back at the past to assess.

However, momentum is onWicked’s side to pull off upsets in a few major categories.

If it can get those nominations,it could end the night with five or more victories.

This last bold prediction has nothing to do with the actual winners or nominees at the 2025 Oscars.